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Pollster Nate Silver has given former President Donald Trump a slight boost in the 2024 presidential race, with Silver’s data analysis showing Trump gaining a small advantage over Kamala Harris. According to Silver’s Silver Bulletin model, Trump gained 0.3 percentage points over the past week, suggesting a more competitive race as election day approaches. Though Silver cautioned against overstating the significance of these changes, his forecast showed modest gains for Trump in key swing states like Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, states critical in determining the election outcome. Despite these trends, Silver emphasized that Democrats’ concern might be an overreaction to what he described as “mixed signals” in the polling data.
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