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With just weeks left until Election Day, former President Donald Trump has several potential pathways to victory in the 2024 presidential race, especially focusing on key swing states. Trump is projected to start election night with 219 electoral votes, while his Democratic opponent Kamala Harris is expected to have 226. Trump’s easiest path involves securing Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania, which would bring him precisely to the 270 votes needed for a win. If he loses Pennsylvania, alternative routes include victories in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, and either Michigan or Wisconsin. Trump currently holds slim polling leads in Arizona, Georgia, and Michigan, while Harris edges out a small advantage in Wisconsin. In a different scenario, Trump could win with Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Nevada, or even with a combination of Michigan and Wisconsin if he loses both Pennsylvania and North Carolina. If polling averages hold true, Trump could potentially achieve a landslide with 302 electoral votes, winning every swing state except Wisconsin.
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