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Here’s a 300-word version of your original piece:
Too many people misuse Occam’s Razor, tossing it around as if it’s a universal truth: “The simplest explanation is usually the correct one.” But that’s not what it means, and applying it blindly leads to lazy thinking. Occam’s Razor doesn’t say go with what’s easy—it says prefer the explanation with the fewest assumptions. That’s a crucial difference. And it’s exactly why Hickam’s Dictum needs more respect.
Hickam’s Dictum, often cited in medicine, says: “Patients can have as many diseases as they damn well please.” It reminds us that real life is messy, complicated, and full of overlapping causes. When we reduce complex problems to single, tidy answers, we often miss the truth entirely.
The confusion comes from people mistaking “simple” for “realistic.” In reality, the correct explanation may not be the most elegant—it might involve multiple causes, strange interactions, or messy systems. Think of a car that won’t start. Sure, it could be the battery. But it could also be the starter, the fuse, or all three. Real-world problems stack.
Overusing Occam’s Razor leads to oversimplified politics, shallow diagnoses, and easy answers that often crumble under scrutiny. It becomes a way to dismiss complexity rather than engage with it. Hickam’s Dictum calls that out. It says the world isn’t obligated to be simple. And that’s the truth.
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